LONDON: About 23,000 deaths could have been prevented in England if the first Covid-19 lockdown had been introduced sooner at the start of the pandemic, a public inquiry stated on Thursday.

The second report from an inquiry into the UK response to the Covid-19 pandemic criticised the government in 2020, led by Boris Johnson, for a “lack of urgency” in the early days of the pandemic, adding the lockdown was “too little, too late”.

Modelling shows that if the first lockdown had been imposed earlier, it could have prevented 23,000 deaths in England alone in the first wave, according to the 800-page report.

“Had the lockdown been imposed one week earlier than March 23, the evidence suggests that the number of deaths in England alone in the first wave up until July 1, 2020, would have been reduced by 48 per cent,” inquiry chair Heather Hallett said.

“The tempo of the response should have been increased. It was not. Feb 2020 was a lost month,” added Hallett, a retired senior judge. The inquiry chair also said that if restrictions had been introduced sooner, the mandatory lockdown could have been sho­r­ter, or “might not have been necessary at all”.

‘Unacceptable loss of life’

But the report, the second in a series from the independent inquiry, rejected claims that the government was wrong to implement the March 2020 lockdown.

“Without it, the growth in transmission would have led to an unacceptable loss of life,” the report said.

The UK suffered one of the worst Covid-19 death tolls in Europe with more than 128,500 fatalities recorded by mid-July 2021.

More than 226,000 people have died from Covid in Britain since the start of the global pandemic in early 2020.

Johnson, who was prime minister from 2019 to 2022, has been criticised on various fronts for the pandemic response, including a lack of preparedness and failing to have enough protective equipment for frontline staff.

During inquiry hearings last month, Johnson said he regretted the impact of the decisions his government took on children, especially the “nightmare” school closures.

The report also criticised a “lack of trust” between Johnson and leaders of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, which have devolved public healthcare systems.

The first inquiry report, published in July last year, found that UK ministers and officials had been woefully underprepared for a global pandemic.

In a statement, a group representing families who lost loved ones during the pandemic slammed the government’s “catastrophic mishandling”.

“We now know that many of our family members would still be alive today if it weren’t for the leadership of Boris Johnson and his colleagues,” Covid-19 Bereaved Families for Justice UK said. The report recommended changes, including reforming decision-making structures, during emergencies and improving consideration of the impact of decisions on vulnerable groups.

Public inquiries in Britain are government-funded, but have an independent chair.

They investigate matters of concern, establishing facts about what happened, why and what lessons can be learnt.

Published in Dawn, November 21st, 2025