Trade gap swells 18pc to $7.1bn

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This file photo shows shipping containers at a port. — Reuters/File
This file photo shows shipping containers at a port. — Reuters/File

KARACHI: The trade gap widened alarmingly by over 18 per cent in the first two months of 2026-27, reflecting the increasing pressure of a surging import bill.

The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data, issu­­ed on Thursday, showed that the trade deficit for July-August FY27 swelled to $7.1 billion as imports grew more sharply than exports. The trade gap stood at $6.03bn in 2MFY26.

The trend mirrors last year’s pattern, with an aggressively widening trade gap that would ultimately eat up all remittances. The trade deficit in FY26 was $39.5bn against remittances of $41.5bn.

The swelling deficit could pose major risks for the country, already under pressure to pay over $26bn in external debt servicing in the current fiscal year.

However, the trade gap narrowed by 19.7pc to $3.17bn in August from $3.95bn in July. The decline appears to be an improvement, but the deficit remains much higher than last year.

In FY26, the current account finally ended with a deficit of $139m; though the amount was negligible, it was only possible due to unprecedented inflows of $41.5bn in remittances.

During the first two months of the current fiscal year, imports grew by 13pc to $12.58bn, compared with $11.13bn in 2MFY26. Higher costs for oil and other imports, such as food, due to the Gulf war have added to economic challenges for Pakistan. On a year-on-year basis, the country’s exports increased by 7pc to $5.46bn in July-August compared to $5.10bn a year ago.

In August, however, imports fell 17.7pc to $5.68bn, compared with $6.89bn in July, while exports fell 15pc to $2.51bn, compared with $2.95bn in July.

August trade deficit swelled 10.4pc year-on-year.

Published in Dawn, September 4th, 2026

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