Oil gains on US–Iran tensions, better India demand

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Abandoned pumpjacks in Cabimas, Venezuela, January 27, 2026 — Reuters/File
Abandoned pumpjacks in Cabimas, Venezuela, January 27, 2026 — Reuters/File

Oil prices gained on Wednesday, buoyed by escalating risk as US–Iran talks remained tenuous, while signs of an easing surplus spurred by better demand support from India also added strength.

Brent crude oil futures were up 57 cents, or 0.83 per cent, at $69.37 a barrel by 07:11 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 56 cents, or 0.88pc, to $64.52.

“Oil retains a bullish tail-risk bid as US-Iran talks continue but remain fragile, keeping the Strait of Hormuz risk premium supported amid ongoing sanctions pressure, tariff threats tied to Iranian trade, and heightened US regional military posture,” LSEG analysts wrote in a report.

Iran’s foreign ministry spokesperson said on Tuesday that nuclear talks with the US allowed Tehran to gauge Washington’s seriousness and showed enough consensus to continue on the diplomatic track.

Diplomats from Iran and the US held talks in Oman last week in an effort to revive diplomacy, after US President Donald Trump positioned a naval flotilla in the region, raising fears of new military action.

While oil prices first eased after Oman’s foreign minister said discussions tied to the US-Iran talks with Iran’s top security official were productive, hopes of a peaceful resolution were later dashed following reports that the US may send a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East if talks fail, ANZ analysts said in a note.

Trump said on Tuesday he was considering sending a second aircraft carrier to the Middle East, even as Washington and Tehran prepare to resume negotiations aimed at averting a new conflict.

Also supporting oil prices were signs of easing surplus, as markets absorbed some surplus barrels seen in the last quarter of 2025.

“With mainstream oil on water returning to normal levels and demand for it in India rising, oil prices are likely to remain supported in the near term,” Vortexa market analyst Xavier Tang said.

Indian refiners are avoiding Russian oil purchases to help New Delhi seal a trade pact with Washington, in turn stepping up purchases of oil from the Middle East and West Africa.

Traders are also waiting for weekly US oil inventory data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 800,000 barrels in the week to February 6, while distillate and gasoline inventories likely fell by about 1.3 million barrels and 400,000 barrels, respectively.

US crude inventories rose by 13.4m barrels in the week ended February 6, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

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